Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.052694 0.057210 0.061783 0.066753 0.071995 0.077352 0.083233
2025-06-01 0.045040 0.051613 0.058510 0.066260 0.074696 0.083576 0.093601
2025-06-08 0.040955 0.049158 0.058027 0.068268 0.079703 0.092020 0.106227
2025-06-15 0.037319 0.046722 0.057168 0.069521 0.083621 0.099105 0.117285
2025-06-22 0.034089 0.044384 0.056108 0.070276 0.086760 0.105170 0.127116
2025-06-29 0.031032 0.041951 0.054682 0.070377 0.088962 0.110035 0.135497
2025-07-06 0.029447 0.041117 0.054997 0.072399 0.093306 0.117306 0.146620
2025-07-13 0.026789 0.038748 0.053284 0.071834 0.094463 0.120771 0.153263
2025-07-20 0.024809 0.037081 0.052297 0.072030 0.096431 0.125121 0.160901
2025-07-27 0.023432 0.036084 0.052055 0.073067 0.099359 0.130578 0.169839
2025-08-03 0.022466 0.035553 0.052344 0.074720 0.103016 0.136903 0.179830
2025-08-10 0.019925 0.032734 0.049536 0.072312 0.101518 0.136890 0.182125
2025-08-17 0.018295 0.031105 0.048247 0.071842 0.102472 0.139933 0.188233
2025-08-24 0.016810 0.029588 0.047030 0.071404 0.103424 0.142957 0.194328
2025-08-31 0.016355 0.029530 0.047779 0.073557 0.107711 0.150162 0.205627
2025-09-07 0.015660 0.029069 0.047936 0.074896 0.110938 0.156050 0.215332
2025-09-14 0.014845 0.028372 0.047720 0.075699 0.113448 0.161034 0.223930
2025-09-21 0.013878 0.027378 0.047029 0.075809 0.115016 0.164809 0.231019
2025-09-28 0.013579 0.027411 0.047804 0.077940 0.119275 0.172045 0.242508
2025-10-05 0.012526 0.026167 0.046661 0.077347 0.119854 0.174530 0.247981
2025-10-12 0.011767 0.025355 0.046111 0.077553 0.121487 0.178366 0.255173
2025-10-19 0.011292 0.024983 0.046196 0.078645 0.124311 0.183752 0.264362
2025-10-26 0.011008 0.024918 0.046735 0.080385 0.128029 0.190326 0.275113